Do the work, then read the methodology
High-intent research should not end at an article. Start with a calculator, replay, wallet audit, market workspace or data sample; use the linked guides to inspect the assumptions behind the result.
Research standard
Every output should expose its assumptions
A useful prediction-market tool identifies its source observation, timing, market identifiers, side, size, fill rule and missing-data behavior. It should separate displayed liquidity from guaranteed execution and make a result reproducible by another researcher.
Use the free calculator to test one ladder before moving into a historical replay. When the workflow needs repeated requests, exports, multiple venues, or a live feed, inspect the API contract and documented coverage before selecting a plan. Wallet and arena outputs are research views, not endorsements or promises of future performance; preserve the underlying market identifiers when comparing a result elsewhere.
Read the research guides →